Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 15/07, 14:30
Prediction: Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Valentina Steiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Valentina Steiner
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Florencia Urrutia
4-6 (W-L)
Valentina Steiner
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1529 · Valentina Steiner 1544
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | Valentina Steiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | Valentina Steiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.5 | 10-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Florencia Urrutia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Badia W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/05 | Katrina Scott W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 21/05 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Valentina Steiner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Laura Boehner W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Leonie Schuknecht W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Matylda Burylo W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Eva Bennemann W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Tamila Gadamauri W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Marie Weckerle W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Valentina Steiner?
Our model gives 57% to Valentina Steiner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.