Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 15/07, 11:30
Prediction: Annemarie Lazar vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Annemarie Lazar
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Annemarie Lazar
6-4 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Annemarie Lazar 1547 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1602
| Annemarie Lazar | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1547 vs 1602).
Statistics
| Annemarie Lazar | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.3 | 11.5-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 64.3% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annemarie Lazar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Tina Manescu W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Federica Sacco W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Monika Wojcik W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Polina Leykina W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Hanna Bougouffa W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/05 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Valentina Khrebtova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Polina Kuharenko UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Vivien Sandberg UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annemarie Lazar vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 75% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.