Tennis · M25 Uriage · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Wiedenmann vs Antonin Witz
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Wiedenmann
Antonin Witz
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Wiedenmann
7-3 (W-L)
Antonin Witz
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Wiedenmann 1546 · Antonin Witz 1486
| Luca Wiedenmann | Antonin Witz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Wiedenmann (rating 1546 vs 1486).
- Luca Wiedenmann is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Antonin Witz makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Luca Wiedenmann | Antonin Witz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.4 | 9.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 62% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Nikola Slavic M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Adam Jilly M15 Store |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Leonardo Tombolini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Antonin Witz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Adrien Berrut M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Attila Hueller-Varga M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Tristan Berard M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 20/05 | Felix Balshaw M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Christophe Pognon M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/05 | Gabriel Jalouneix M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/03 | Timeo Trufelli M25 Toulouse |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Benoit Geldof M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Liam Branger M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Wiedenmann vs Antonin Witz?
Our model gives 74% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.