Tennis · M25 Uriage · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nicola Senn vs Alexander Weis
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicola Senn
Alexander Weis
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicola Senn
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Weis
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicola Senn 1458 · Alexander Weis 1573
| Nicola Senn | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Weis (rating 1458 vs 1573).
- Alexander Weis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicola Senn | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.2 | 11.1-9 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicola Senn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lenny Petit M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 14/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Henry Lieberman M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/04 | Leo Gutjahr M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 05/03 | Mika Brunold M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Alexander Weis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Damien Salvestre M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Bonnaud M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Amar Huseinovikj M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicola Senn vs Alexander Weis?
Our model gives 80% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.