Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 15/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mackenzie Clark vs Riley Crowder
Prediction summary
Winner
Mackenzie Clark
Riley Crowder
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mackenzie Clark
4-6 (W-L)
Riley Crowder
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mackenzie Clark 1464 · Riley Crowder 1556
| Mackenzie Clark | Riley Crowder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riley Crowder (rating 1464 vs 1556).
- Riley Crowder is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mackenzie Clark makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Mackenzie Clark | Riley Crowder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 66.7% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mackenzie Clark
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Elle Warren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Bella Jacutin-Mariona UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/03 | Hanna Chang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 17/03 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 14/03 | Kailey Evans UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/03 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Riley Crowder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Savannah Webster UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Olivia Carneiro UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/12 | Rachael Smith UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/12 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/12 | Emma Dvorackova UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/12 | Adelie Osher UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mackenzie Clark vs Riley Crowder?
Our model gives 70% to Riley Crowder, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.