Tennis · M15 Rochester · 15/07, 14:30
Prediction: Ilija Palavestra vs Drew Van Orderlain
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilija Palavestra
Drew Van Orderlain
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Ilija Palavestra
5-5 (W-L)
Drew Van Orderlain
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ilija Palavestra
1–0
Drew Van Orderlain
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilija Palavestra 1493 · Drew Van Orderlain 1482
| Ilija Palavestra | Drew Van Orderlain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ilija Palavestra 1–0 Drew Van Orderlain (1).
Statistics
| Ilija Palavestra | Drew Van Orderlain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.8 | 11.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Ilija Palavestra 1 – 0 Drew Van Orderlain (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilija Palavestra 1–0 Drew Van Orderlain
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/25 M15 Rochester | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilija Palavestra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/03 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 11/03 | Adam Faragcao M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Numa Lemieux-Monette M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/03 | Thomas Edwards M15 Sherbrooke |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/11 | William Jansen ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 17/10 | Jonasz Dziopak UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Drew Van Orderlain
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicholas Mekhael UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Roberto Cid Subervi M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 13/05 | Martin Maldonado M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Luka Butera M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/05 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Jordan Chiu M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/04 | Alan Sau Franco M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilija Palavestra vs Drew Van Orderlain?
Our model gives 60% to Ilija Palavestra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.