Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 14/07, 18:30
Prediction: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Juan Estevez
Prediction summary
Winner
Segundo Goity Zapico
Juan Estevez
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Segundo Goity Zapico
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Estevez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Segundo Goity Zapico 1487 · Juan Estevez 1533
| Segundo Goity Zapico | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Estevez (rating 1487 vs 1533).
- Note: Segundo Goity Zapico makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Segundo Goity Zapico | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-8.9 | 11.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Segundo Goity Zapico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Martin Maldonado Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Tsz Fu Wong Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Federico Coria Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Juan Estevez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe De Dios M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Valentin Basel M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Segundo Goity Zapico vs Juan Estevez?
Our model gives 74% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.