Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 14/07, 17:00
Prediction: Santiago Lora vs Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Lora
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Lora
6-4 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Lora 1466 · Thiago Cigarran 1507
| Santiago Lora | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1466 vs 1507).
- Note: Thiago Cigarran makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Santiago Lora | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.6 | 12.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Lora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Dante Teramo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/04 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Eric Crivei UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Aram Noroozian UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/03 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/11 | Tomas Farjat ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/11 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/11 | Matteo Covato ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Lora vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 72% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.