Tennis · M15 Rochester · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Alex Finkelstein vs Eric Crivei
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Finkelstein
Eric Crivei
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Finkelstein
3-7 (W-L)
Eric Crivei
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Finkelstein 1487 · Eric Crivei 1550
| Alex Finkelstein | Eric Crivei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Crivei (rating 1487 vs 1550).
- Eric Crivei is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Finkelstein makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Alex Finkelstein | Eric Crivei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.8 | 10.4-7.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Finkelstein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 12/05 | Francisco Montana M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/02 | Tristan Boyer ATP Dallas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Juan Carlos Aguilar ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/11 | William Grant ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Joshua Peck ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Ranak Pajpani ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Matisse Farzam ITF M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alexis Gurmendi ITF M15 Huntsville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Eric Crivei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Lazar Markovic M25 Laval |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 27/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Felipe Vazquez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Andrew Hayduke II UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/04 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/04 | Rich Lalance UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Finkelstein vs Eric Crivei?
Our model gives 55% to Eric Crivei, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.