Tennis · W35 Dallas · 14/07, 20:00
Prediction: Rachel Gailis vs Alexis Nguyen
Prediction summary
Winner
Rachel Gailis
Alexis Nguyen
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rachel Gailis
4-6 (W-L)
Alexis Nguyen
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rachel Gailis
1–0
Alexis Nguyen
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rachel Gailis 1496 · Alexis Nguyen 1592
| Rachel Gailis | Alexis Nguyen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexis Nguyen (rating 1496 vs 1592).
- Alexis Nguyen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rachel Gailis 1–0 Alexis Nguyen (1).
Statistics
| Rachel Gailis | Alexis Nguyen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.6 | 11.6-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 34% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Rachel Gailis 1 – 0 Alexis Nguyen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rachel Gailis 1–0 Alexis Nguyen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/24 W15 Lakewood | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rachel Gailis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kaia Giribalan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Weston · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Bradenton |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Bradenton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/01 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Bradenton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Alexis Nguyen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Camille Allegre W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Brooke Kwon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Kayla Chung W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Sophia Webster W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rachel Gailis vs Alexis Nguyen?
Our model gives 61% to Alexis Nguyen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.