Tennis · W35 Dallas · 14/07, 18:30
Prediction: Diae El Jardi vs Maria Kononova
Prediction summary
Winner
Diae El Jardi
Maria Kononova
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Diae El Jardi
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Kononova
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diae El Jardi 1478 · Maria Kononova 1386
| Diae El Jardi | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diae El Jardi (rating 1478 vs 1386).
- Note: Diae El Jardi makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Diae El Jardi | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.9 | 8.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diae El Jardi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Clarissa Blomqvist W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Zeel Desai W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Elina Nepliy W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Carolina Dibenedetto W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Zeel Desai W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Tatjana Maria WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Adriana Reami W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Jada Robinson W35 Boca Raton |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Lillian Santos W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 18/05 | Claire Hill W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Avery Nguyen W35 Charlotte |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Jamilah Snells W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Anna Dvorackova W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diae El Jardi vs Maria Kononova?
Our model gives 63% to Diae El Jardi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.