Tennis · W35 Dallas · 14/07, 17:00

Prediction: Lexington Reed vs Zimora Mcknight

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Lexington Reed Zimora Mcknight
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington Reed 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLLW
Zimora Mcknight 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lexington Reed 1463 · Zimora Mcknight 1477
Lexington ReedZimora Mcknight
Our model48%52%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Zimora Mcknight makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Lexington ReedZimora Mcknight
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51-1.3
Games (G-P)10.5-10.39.8-12
Aces1.40.8
Double faults3.64.6
1st serve %62%55.2%
Break %35.2%41.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lexington Reed

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Christasha McNeil
W50 Columbus
1-2 14-13 L
06/07 Elizabeth Ionescu
W50 Columbus
2-1 15-11 W
03/12 Abigail Rencheli
ITF W35 Daytona Beach
0-2 10-13 L
11/11 Sophia Biolay
ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
04/11 Akasha Urhobo
ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
31/10 Anna Perelman
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
29/10 Jimena Gomez
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
1-2 12-12 L
28/10 Lexie Weir
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
27/10 Julia Ionescu
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/10 Jaeda Daniel
ITF W35 Norman · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Zimora Mcknight

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/04 Joanna Kennedy
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
25/04 Maria Aytoyan
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
25/04 Ariana Gilbert
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
23/04 Emerey Gross
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/04 Alina Shcherbinina
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/04 Amy Lee
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
23/11 Luna Ivkovic
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
22/11 Jade Psonka
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
21/11 Alian Zack
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/11 Alina Shcherbinina
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lexington Reed vs Zimora Mcknight?

Our model gives 63% to Lexington Reed, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.