Prediction: Vincent Marysko vs Tom Sickenberger
Prediction summary
Winner
Vincent Marysko
Tom Sickenberger
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Vincent Marysko
5-5 (W-L)
Tom Sickenberger
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vincent Marysko 1541 · Tom Sickenberger 1462
| Vincent Marysko | Tom Sickenberger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vincent Marysko (rating 1541 vs 1462).
- Note: Tom Sickenberger makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Vincent Marysko | Tom Sickenberger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 9.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vincent Marysko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Hammes M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/06 | Niels McDonald M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Tom Sickenberger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Oliver Majdandzic M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alec Beckley M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Hanu Patel M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Marcel Volz M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Eero Vasa M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vincent Marysko vs Tom Sickenberger?
Our model gives 70% to Vincent Marysko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.