Prediction: Vito Tonejc vs Tarek Erlewein
Prediction summary
Winner
Vito Tonejc
Tarek Erlewein
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Vito Tonejc
5-5 (W-L)
Tarek Erlewein
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vito Tonejc 1485 · Tarek Erlewein 1406
| Vito Tonejc | Tarek Erlewein | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vito Tonejc (rating 1485 vs 1406).
- Vito Tonejc is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Vito Tonejc | Tarek Erlewein | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.2 | 8.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 65.2% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vito Tonejc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/04 | Raphael Perot M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Francisco Montana M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/12 | Youcef Rihane UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/12 | Albert Saar UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/12 | Justin Lyons UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Tarek Erlewein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Mikkel Zinder UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/12 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Hayden Snyder UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Ellis Short UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 12/12 | Carson Baker UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/12 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vito Tonejc vs Tarek Erlewein?
Our model gives 67% to Vito Tonejc, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.