Prediction: Peetu Pohjola vs Lars Wagenaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Peetu Pohjola
Lars Wagenaar
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Peetu Pohjola
6-4 (W-L)
Lars Wagenaar
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peetu Pohjola 1548 · Lars Wagenaar 1482
| Peetu Pohjola | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peetu Pohjola (rating 1548 vs 1482).
- Peetu Pohjola is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Lars Wagenaar makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Peetu Pohjola | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.7 | 10.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 8 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 22% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peetu Pohjola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Botond Nagy ITF M15 Szabolcsveresmart · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tomislav Jotovski UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Luka Vuglar UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Gergely Madarasz UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | George Lazarov UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Nazar Oliynykov UTR Pro Zadar · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Sean Hodkin UTR Pro Zadar · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Enrique Bogo UTR Pro Zadar · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Timo De Visser M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Timo De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Andras Necz UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Marcel Zielinski UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Alexander Glomb UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Piet Steveker UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/04 | Amadatus Admiraal UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peetu Pohjola vs Lars Wagenaar?
Our model gives 50% to Peetu Pohjola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.