Tennis · M15 Wuning · 14/07, 11:00

Prediction: Chun-Chien Hou vs Ye Hongyu

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Chun-Chien Hou Ye Hongyu
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chun-Chien Hou 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWLL
Ye Hongyu 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chun-Chien Hou 1459 · Ye Hongyu 1448
Chun-Chien HouYe Hongyu
Our model52%48%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Chun-Chien HouYe Hongyu
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.50.8-1.5
Games (G-P)7.8-10.38.7-11.5
Aces3.33.4
Double faults2.33.3
1st serve %64.3%65.6%
Break %44.3%36.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chun-Chien Hou

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Yaojie Zeng
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
01/07 Ye Cong Mo
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-1 12-11 W
30/06 Yue Xia
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/11 Braden Shick
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
1-2 9-14 L
26/11 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
2-0 9-0 W
18/11 Yeonsu Jeong
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/11 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Taipei · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
29/10 Shu Muto
ITF M15 Yanagawa · Hard
0-2 7-11 L
16/09 Omar Jasika
ITF M25 Guiyang · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Lingxi Zhao
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Ye Hongyu

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/06 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
02/06 Matvey Greschner
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
22/05 Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Uisung Park
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
05/05 Wenze Li
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 10-3 W
15/04 Xiaofei Wang
M25 Anning · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
08/04 Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
07/04 Wenze Li
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 13-7 W
31/03 Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/03 Yaojie Zeng
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chun-Chien Hou vs Ye Hongyu?

Our model gives 58% to Chun-Chien Hou, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.