Tennis · M15 Wuning · 16/07, 04:00
Prediction: Noritaka Koizumi vs James Van Herzeele
Prediction summary
Winner
Noritaka Koizumi
James Van Herzeele
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Noritaka Koizumi
3-7 (W-L)
James Van Herzeele
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noritaka Koizumi
1–0
James Van Herzeele
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noritaka Koizumi 1504 · James Van Herzeele 1508
| Noritaka Koizumi | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Noritaka Koizumi 1–0 James Van Herzeele (1).
Statistics
| Noritaka Koizumi | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11 | 10-9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Noritaka Koizumi 1 – 0 James Van Herzeele (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noritaka Koizumi 1–0 James Van Herzeele
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 M15 Wuning | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noritaka Koizumi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 08/06 | Yua Taka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 28/05 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
James Van Herzeele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Shixun Zhu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Ye Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 03/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noritaka Koizumi vs James Van Herzeele?
Our model gives 59% to Noritaka Koizumi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.