Tennis · M15 Wuning · 16/07, 12:00

Prediction: Chun-Chien Hou vs Jangjun Kim

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Chun-Chien Hou Jangjun Kim
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chun-Chien Hou 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWLLWW
Jangjun Kim 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chun-Chien Hou 1513 · Jangjun Kim 1579
Chun-Chien HouJangjun Kim
Our model41%59%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jangjun Kim (rating 1513 vs 1579).
  • Jangjun Kim is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Chun-Chien HouJangjun Kim
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.6-0.6
Games (G-P)9.6-9.411.9-8.5
Aces3.55.5
Double faults2.11.9
1st serve %71.4%82.5%
Break %53.1%45.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chun-Chien Hou

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Kanan Gasimov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Ye Hongyu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Yaojie Zeng
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
01/07 Ye Cong Mo
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-1 12-11 W
30/06 Yue Xia
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/11 Braden Shick
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
1-2 9-14 L
26/11 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
2-0 9-0 W
18/11 Yeonsu Jeong
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/11 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Taipei · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
29/10 Shu Muto
ITF M15 Yanagawa · Hard
0-2 7-11 L

Jangjun Kim

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Fanming Meng
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/07 Kosuke Shibano
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Masamichi Imamura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
14/06 Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
12/06 Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Maximus Jones
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Yua Taka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chun-Chien Hou vs Jangjun Kim?

Our model gives 73% to Jangjun Kim, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.