Tennis · M15 Wuning · 15/07, 04:00
Prediction: Minghui Zhang vs Zhao Zhao
Prediction summary
Winner
Minghui Zhang
Zhao Zhao
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Minghui Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Zhao Zhao
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minghui Zhang 1466 · Zhao Zhao 1514
| Minghui Zhang | Zhao Zhao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhao Zhao (rating 1466 vs 1514).
Statistics
| Minghui Zhang | Zhao Zhao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 11.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minghui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 01/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hao Sheng Koay M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Emiliano Jorquera M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Aoran Wang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | He Ziheng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 17/04 | Michael Zhu M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Zhao Zhao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Ye Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 03/06 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Zijiang Yang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/05 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minghui Zhang vs Zhao Zhao?
Our model gives 54% to Zhao Zhao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.