Tennis · WTA Athens · 15/07, 15:00
Prediction: Mai Hontama vs Alycia Parks
Prediction summary
Winner
Mai Hontama
Alycia Parks
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Mai Hontama
7-3 (W-L)
Alycia Parks
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mai Hontama
1–1
Alycia Parks
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mai Hontama 1516 · Alycia Parks 1489
| Mai Hontama | Alycia Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Note: Mai Hontama makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Mai Hontama | Alycia Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 10.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Mai Hontama 1 – 1 Alycia Parks (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mai Hontama 1–1 Alycia Parks
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/25 WTA Prague | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08/21 ITF W100 Landisville | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mai Hontama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Magda Linette WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Akasha Urhobo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Xinxin Yao W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 27/05 | Mina Hodzic W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Alycia Parks
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Alicia Dudeney Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Viktorija Golubic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Leylah Annie Fernandez French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Jil Teichmann WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mai Hontama vs Alycia Parks?
Our model gives 54% to Alycia Parks, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.