Tennis · WTA Athens · 15/07, 15:00

Prediction: Elena Micic vs Qinwen Zheng

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Elena Micic Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Micic 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWW
Qinwen Zheng 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elena Micic 1569 · Qinwen Zheng 1481
Elena MicicQinwen Zheng
Our model62%38%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Micic (rating 1569 vs 1481).
  • Elena Micic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Elena Micic makes many double faults (6.1/match).
  • Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Elena MicicQinwen Zheng
Win %80%40%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91-1.4
Games (G-P)12.4-9.511.8-12.8
Aces1.69.5
Double faults6.14.9
1st serve %64.6%74.2%
Break %45.7%38.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elena Micic

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Martha Matoula
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/07 Anastasia Kulikova
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
11/07 Makoto Ninomiya
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Han Shi
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Francisca Jorge
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
28/06 Eva Vedder
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
27/06 Ayla Aksu
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-1 9-8 W
26/06 Carolyn Ansari
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
25/06 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Qinwen Zheng

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
29/06 Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
24/06 Clara Tauson
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
1-2 13-17 L
22/06 Solana Sierra
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
17/06 Talia Gibson
WTA Nottingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
15/06 Maria Sakkari
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-1 17-16 W
08/06 Jaqueline Adina Cristian
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
25/05 Maja Chwalinska
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/05 Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
07/05 Cristina Bucsa
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elena Micic vs Qinwen Zheng?

Our model gives 65% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.