Tennis · WTA Athens · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlek
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Sara Bejlek
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
5-5 (W-L)
Sara Bejlek
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1476 · Sara Bejlek 1457
| Lilli Tagger | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11 | 8.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Marianne Argyrokastriti WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Madison Sieg WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Xinyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Maria Sakkari WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Alina Korneeva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Suzan Lamens WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Sara Bejlek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 16/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Alina Charaeva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Laura Siegemund WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlek?
Our model gives 50% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.