Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mathilde Lollia vs Laetitia Pulchartova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathilde Lollia
Laetitia Pulchartova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mathilde Lollia
6-4 (W-L)
Laetitia Pulchartova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mathilde Lollia
2–0
Laetitia Pulchartova
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathilde Lollia 1473 · Laetitia Pulchartova 1416
| Mathilde Lollia | Laetitia Pulchartova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathilde Lollia (rating 1473 vs 1416).
- Mathilde Lollia is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mathilde Lollia 2–0 Laetitia Pulchartova (2).
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Mathilde Lollia | Laetitia Pulchartova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.7 | 6.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Mathilde Lollia 2 – 0 Laetitia Pulchartova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mathilde Lollia 2–0 Laetitia Pulchartova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/24 W35 Mohammedia | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07/24 W15 Casablanca | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathilde Lollia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Francesca Dell'edera W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 12/05 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Jenny Lim W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Darya Astakhova W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 11/03 | Milana Zhabrailova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Laetitia Pulchartova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Angelina Wirges W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Noemi Maines W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 15/06 | Iva Ivankovic W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Theodora Degelow W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Lenka Munzarova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Maddalena Giordano W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathilde Lollia vs Laetitia Pulchartova?
Our model gives 72% to Mathilde Lollia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.