Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Madelief Hageman vs Annemarie Lazar
Prediction summary
Winner
Madelief Hageman
Annemarie Lazar
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Madelief Hageman
4-6 (W-L)
Annemarie Lazar
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Madelief Hageman
2–0
Annemarie Lazar
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madelief Hageman 1479 · Annemarie Lazar 1537
| Madelief Hageman | Annemarie Lazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annemarie Lazar (rating 1479 vs 1537).
- Annemarie Lazar is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Madelief Hageman 2–0 Annemarie Lazar (2).
Statistics
| Madelief Hageman | Annemarie Lazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10 | 11-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 65.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Madelief Hageman 2 – 0 Annemarie Lazar (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madelief Hageman 2–0 Annemarie Lazar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/25 ITF W15 Haren | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/06/25 ITF W15 Gdansk | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madelief Hageman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Jana Angelovska W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Lian Tran W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Monika Wojcik W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Iva Ivanova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Karine Sarkisova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Aleksandra Djokic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Annemarie Lazar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Tina Manescu W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Federica Sacco W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Monika Wojcik W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Polina Leykina W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Hanna Bougouffa W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/05 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Valentina Khrebtova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Polina Kuharenko UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Vivien Sandberg UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Alina Kornieieva UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madelief Hageman vs Annemarie Lazar?
Our model gives 54% to Madelief Hageman, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.