Tennis · M25 Uriage · 14/07, 10:00

Prediction: Antonin Witz vs Adrien Berrut

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Antonin Witz Adrien Berrut
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Antonin Witz 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLLW
Adrien Berrut 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antonin Witz 1489 · Adrien Berrut 1540
Antonin WitzAdrien Berrut
Our model43%57%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Berrut (rating 1489 vs 1540).
  • Adrien Berrut is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Antonin Witz makes many double faults (6.6/match).

Statistics

Antonin WitzAdrien Berrut
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.5-0.7
Games (G-P)10.4-10.210.5-8
Aces1.33.1
Double faults6.63
1st serve %64.2%71.3%
Break %53.7%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antonin Witz

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Attila Hueller-Varga
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Tristan Berard
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L
20/05 Felix Balshaw
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/05 Christophe Pognon
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
17/05 Gabriel Jalouneix
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/03 Timeo Trufelli
M25 Toulouse
0-2 10-13 L
08/03 Benoit Geldof
M25 Creteil · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/03 Liam Branger
M15 Poitiers · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/03 Nicolas Tepmahc
M15 Poitiers · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
19/02 Robin Catry
M15 Lannion · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Adrien Berrut

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Antoine Walch
M25 Uriage
2-1 13-10 W
12/07 Zaccharie Cado
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Ander Tarrio Ponte
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Noah Folkesson Doudy
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Carl Holder
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
15/06 Adrien Burdet
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 7-8 L
14/06 Noah Schlagenhauf
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
20/07 Tim Hammes
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
19/07 Kristof Minarik
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/07 Facundo Bermejo
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antonin Witz vs Adrien Berrut?

Our model gives 53% to Adrien Berrut, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.