Tennis · M25 Uriage · 14/07, 11:30

Prediction: Alessio Basile vs Adan Freire Da Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Alessio Basile Adan Freire Da Silva
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alessio Basile 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLLL
Adan Freire Da Silva 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alessio Basile 1494 · Adan Freire Da Silva 1472
Alessio BasileAdan Freire Da Silva
Our model53%47%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alessio BasileAdan Freire Da Silva
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (3) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)9.5-8.29.7-10.2
Aces31.7
Double faults2.22.3
1st serve %70.3%59.6%
Break %49.6%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alessio Basile

WWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Franco Ribero
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Robert Strombachs
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
15/01 Haruki Okude
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
14/01 Alexander Merson
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/01 Lukas Frangenberg
UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
28/11 Francesco Forti
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 5-10 L
26/11 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/11 Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/11 Ognjen Jagrovic
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L

Adan Freire Da Silva

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Emilien Demanet
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Lorenzo Balducci
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
24/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/06 Jordan Coudret
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
27/05 Daniel Jade
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/05 Mathys Picard
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
21/05 Daniel Antonio Nunez
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
19/05 Melvin Kumar
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/04 Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 16-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alessio Basile vs Adan Freire Da Silva?

Our model gives 57% to Adan Freire Da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.