Tennis · M25 Uriage · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Jade vs Alexandre Aubriot
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Jade
Alexandre Aubriot
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Jade
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandre Aubriot
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Jade 1564 · Alexandre Aubriot 1483
| Daniel Jade | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Jade (rating 1564 vs 1483).
- Daniel Jade is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alexandre Aubriot makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Jade | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.1 | 12-12.2 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Jade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Hugo Car M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Mathys Domenc M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 27/05 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Lucas Poullain M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | August Holmgren French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Daniel Evans French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Elias Ymer Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Alexandre Aubriot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Jakub Filip M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Facundo Yunis M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Tristan Berard M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Nikola Lulic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Petr Nesterov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/04 | Jorge Plans M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/04 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Jade vs Alexandre Aubriot?
Our model gives 71% to Daniel Jade, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.