Tennis · M25 Uriage · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Amaury Raynel vs Maxence Rivet
Prediction summary
Winner
Amaury Raynel
Maxence Rivet
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Amaury Raynel
2-8 (W-L)
Maxence Rivet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amaury Raynel 1410 · Maxence Rivet 1506
| Amaury Raynel | Maxence Rivet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxence Rivet (rating 1410 vs 1506).
Statistics
| Amaury Raynel | Maxence Rivet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.5 | 8.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 54% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amaury Raynel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Alexandr Binda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Josip Simundza M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Peter Makk M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/01 | Moise Kouame M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01 | Adan Freire Da Silva M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Maxence Rivet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Simone Macchione M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Federico Gargano M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Lenny Couturier M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Isaac Becroft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 31/03 | Yannik Kelm M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amaury Raynel vs Maxence Rivet?
Our model gives 53% to Maxence Rivet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.