Tennis · M25 Uriage · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Lenny Couturier
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Lenny Couturier
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
6-4 (W-L)
Lenny Couturier
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1500 · Lenny Couturier 1492
| Florent Bax | Lenny Couturier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Lenny Couturier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 8.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 42% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Franco Ribero Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lenny Couturier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Marcel Hornung M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Melvin Vix M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Mathys Picard M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Tristan Berard M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Mac Visser M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Lenny Couturier?
Our model gives 69% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.