Tennis · M15 Uslar · 15/07, 10:00

Prediction: Michael Agwi vs Yannic Nittmann

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Michael Agwi Yannic Nittmann
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Agwi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWWL
Yannic Nittmann 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michael Agwi 1424 · Yannic Nittmann 1511
Michael AgwiYannic Nittmann
Our model38%62%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannic Nittmann (rating 1424 vs 1511).
  • Yannic Nittmann is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Michael AgwiYannic Nittmann
Win %20%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.3-0.9
Games (G-P)8.9-12.39.6-8.8
Aces4.22.9
Double faults6.13
1st serve %65%65.9%
Break %27.1%29.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michael Agwi

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Anton Matusevich
M25 Kassel
0-2 7-13 L
07/07 Sydney Zick
M25 Kassel
2-0 14-11 W
23/06 Jannik Soetebier
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L
24/03 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
19/03 Antoine Ghibaudo
M25 Toulouse
1-2 13-16 L
17/03 Richard Antoni
M25 Toulouse
2-0 12-6 W
11/03 Loann Massard
M25 Creteil · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/02 Vincent Reisach
M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/02 Taym Alazmeh
Davis Cup
0-2 5-12 L
07/02 Hazem Naw
Davis Cup
0-2 4-12 L

Yannic Nittmann

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Jakub Nicod
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/07 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
29/06 Stijn Hofman
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/06 Andrin Casanova
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
21/06 Timeo Puech
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
27/05 Sydney Zick
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/04 Joaquin Benoit
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
23/04 Luka Talan Lopatic
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
22/04 Niko Klyachkin
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
22/04 Sebastian Bielen
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michael Agwi vs Yannic Nittmann?

Our model gives 59% to Michael Agwi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.