Prediction: Justin Schlageter vs Johan Oscar Lien
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Schlageter
Johan Oscar Lien
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Schlageter
6-4 (W-L)
Johan Oscar Lien
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Schlageter 1497 · Johan Oscar Lien 1524
| Justin Schlageter | Johan Oscar Lien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Justin Schlageter dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 46.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Justin Schlageter | Johan Oscar Lien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.8 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Schlageter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Felix Einig M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Matteo Covato M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Alec Deckers M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Johan Oscar Lien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Calvin Mueller M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Eric Dylan Mueller M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Felix Balshaw M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 14/05 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Schlageter vs Johan Oscar Lien?
Our model gives 52% to Johan Oscar Lien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.