Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 14/07, 18:00
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Taylor Goetz
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Taylor Goetz
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
7-3 (W-L)
Taylor Goetz
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1556 · Taylor Goetz 1496
| Riley Crowder | Taylor Goetz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riley Crowder (rating 1556 vs 1496).
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Taylor Goetz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.3 | 8.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 52.3% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Savannah Webster UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Olivia Carneiro UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/12 | Rachael Smith UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/12 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/12 | Emma Dvorackova UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/12 | Adelie Osher UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/11 | Amaliia Elizarova UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Taylor Goetz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Carolina Bohrer Martins UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/01 | Yael Saffar UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/01 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/01 | Alanis Hamilton UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Arina Babenko UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Taylor Goetz?
Our model gives 67% to Riley Crowder, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.