Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 15/07, 10:00

Prediction: Sandra Samir vs Dayeon Back

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Sandra Samir Dayeon Back
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sandra Samir 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWLL
Dayeon Back 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandra Samir 1488 · Dayeon Back 1619
Sandra SamirDayeon Back
Our model32%68%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dayeon Back (rating 1488 vs 1619).
  • Dayeon Back is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Sandra SamirDayeon Back
Win %50%90%
Win % · Hard 90% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.8-0.2
Games (G-P)8.9-8.912.1-6.2
Aces0.60.6
Double faults3.91.9
1st serve %61%67.9%
Break %56.3%55.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandra Samir

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Buzau
0-2 5-12 L
03/07 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
02/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Daniela Vismane
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/06 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Prathyusha Rachapudi
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
22/05 Ulyana Hrabavets
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/05 Wilva Chan
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
20/05 Magdalena Hedrzak
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/05 Elina Nepliy
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Dayeon Back

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/06 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
24/06 Kisa Yoshioka
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/06 Haruka Kaji
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
20/06 Hiromi Abe
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Naho Sato
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
18/06 Anchisa Chanta
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Yu-Ning Tsai
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Ha Eum Lee
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/05 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandra Samir vs Dayeon Back?

Our model gives 75% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.