Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 14/07, 14:30
Prediction: Tena Lukas vs Carla Markus
Prediction summary
Winner
Tena Lukas
Carla Markus
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tena Lukas
5-5 (W-L)
Carla Markus
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tena Lukas 1457 · Carla Markus 1444
| Tena Lukas | Carla Markus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Tena Lukas | Carla Markus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.1 | 8.6-12 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 50% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Julia Avdeeva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tina Manescu W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Marcelina Podlinska W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 04/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriela Ce W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 27/05 | Weronika Ewald W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Carla Markus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Denislava Glushkova W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Lian Tran W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/05 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/04 | Julia Riera W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Sarah Ye W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Yael Saffar W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Emery Combs W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/04 | Elizabeth Coleman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tena Lukas vs Carla Markus?
Our model gives 70% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.