Tennis · M25 Uriage · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tristan Berard vs Andrea Brignacca
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Berard
Andrea Brignacca
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Berard
7-3 (W-L)
Andrea Brignacca
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Berard 1559 · Andrea Brignacca 1465
| Tristan Berard | Andrea Brignacca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Berard (rating 1559 vs 1465).
- Tristan Berard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tristan Berard | Andrea Brignacca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.7 | 8.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 76% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Berard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zeno Godi M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Vicente Quevedo Mederos M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Baptiste Arzur M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Damien Clerc M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/05 | Antonin Witz M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Andrea Brignacca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alexey Dubinin M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Tom Gonindard M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Fran Rakonic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/03 | Michal Milko UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Adam Novotny UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/03 | Sebastian Chodura UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Jiri Vesely UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Berard vs Andrea Brignacca?
Our model gives 77% to Tristan Berard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.