Tennis · W15 Luan · 15/07, 04:00

Prediction: Naho Sato vs Junlu Sun

Prediction summary
Winner
77% 23%
Naho Sato Junlu Sun
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Naho Sato 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWWW
Junlu Sun 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naho Sato 1535 · Junlu Sun 1453
Naho SatoJunlu Sun
Our model62%38%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naho Sato (rating 1535 vs 1453).
  • Naho Sato is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Naho SatoJunlu Sun
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.6-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-7.67.2-10.2
Aces00
Double faults1.33.9
1st serve %58.4%50%
Break %56%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naho Sato

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Gyeong Seo Lee
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
23/06 Eunhye Lee
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
22/06 Nao Phang Ziyi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
19/06 Dayeon Back
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
18/06 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
17/06 Feier Hu
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Ji Min Park
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
09/06 Kayo Nishimura
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/05 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/05 Emily Appleton
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Junlu Sun

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Xu Yunzhang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Xiaowei Li
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/07 Chengyiyi Yuan
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Jialan Cai
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Wushuang Zheng
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
16/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/05 Sunam Jeong
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Eunyeong Park
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Zijun Jiang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/04 Xi Luo
W50 Baotou · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naho Sato vs Junlu Sun?

Our model gives 77% to Naho Sato, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.