Tennis · M15 Wuning · 15/07, 04:00
Prediction: Daniil Sarksian vs Noritaka Koizumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Sarksian
Noritaka Koizumi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Sarksian
4-6 (W-L)
Noritaka Koizumi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Sarksian 1462 · Noritaka Koizumi 1496
| Daniil Sarksian | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniil Sarksian | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 9-11 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 54% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Sarksian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nicola Ion M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 08/06 | Yua Taka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 28/05 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Sarksian vs Noritaka Koizumi?
Our model gives 52% to Noritaka Koizumi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.