Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 14/07, 03:30
Prediction: Shiho Shibata vs Sara Mickoska
Prediction summary
Winner
Shiho Shibata
Sara Mickoska
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Shiho Shibata
7-3 (W-L)
Sara Mickoska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiho Shibata 1579 · Sara Mickoska 1475
| Shiho Shibata | Sara Mickoska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shiho Shibata (rating 1579 vs 1475).
- Shiho Shibata is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Sara Mickoska makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Shiho Shibata | Sara Mickoska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.9 | 11.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 57% |
| Break % | 66.2% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiho Shibata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Xi Luo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Jeong Moon W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Ella Idzikowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Faustine Liope UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Pauline Ma UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/05 | Aliyah Dwyer UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sara Mickoska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Caitlin Abela UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Olivia Quigley UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Ariel Gunawan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Caitlin Baker UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Aliyah Dwyer UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiho Shibata vs Sara Mickoska?
Our model gives 71% to Shiho Shibata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.