Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 14/07, 03:30
Prediction: Tori Russell vs Grace Cadwallader
Prediction summary
Winner
Tori Russell
Grace Cadwallader
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tori Russell
6-4 (W-L)
Grace Cadwallader
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tori Russell
1–0
Grace Cadwallader
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tori Russell 1508 · Grace Cadwallader 1435
| Tori Russell | Grace Cadwallader | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tori Russell (rating 1508 vs 1435).
- Head-to-head: Tori Russell 1–0 Grace Cadwallader (1).
Statistics
| Tori Russell | Grace Cadwallader | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.9 | 9.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | – |
| Double faults | 3.6 | – |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | – |
| Break % | 67.8% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Tori Russell 1 – 0 Grace Cadwallader (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tori Russell 1–0 Grace Cadwallader
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/25 UTR Pro Brisbane Women | 2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tori Russell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02 | Ying Zhang W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Sarah Rokusek W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/02 | Alicia Smith W75 Brisbane Qual |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/02 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/02 | Rianna Alame W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/01 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Sarah Rokusek ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/12 | Chiara Di Tommaso ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/12 | Angelina Graovac ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/12 | Kayo Nishimura ITF W15 Hamilton · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Grace Cadwallader
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Isabelle Criddle UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Faustine Liope UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/05 | Ella Idzikowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Matilda Daniel UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Sofia Savic UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Marfa Solovei UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tori Russell vs Grace Cadwallader?
Our model gives 71% to Tori Russell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.