Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 14/07, 14:30
Prediction: Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Bastian Malla
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Bastian Malla
7-3 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bastian Malla
0–1
Carlos Maria Zarate
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bastian Malla 1546 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1556
| Bastian Malla | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bastian Malla 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
Statistics
| Bastian Malla | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.3 | 11.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Bastian Malla 0 – 1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bastian Malla 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bastian Malla
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 23/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/04 | Lachlan Gaskell M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 14/04 | William Nolan M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/03 | Tomas Martinez M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/03 | Valentino Grippo M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Mateo Del Pino M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 57% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.