Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 13/07, 17:30
Prediction: Luis Jose Nakamine vs Bautista De La Pena
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Jose Nakamine
Bautista De La Pena
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Jose Nakamine
7-3 (W-L)
Bautista De La Pena
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luis Jose Nakamine
1–0
Bautista De La Pena
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Jose Nakamine 1524 · Bautista De La Pena 1403
| Luis Jose Nakamine | Bautista De La Pena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Jose Nakamine (rating 1524 vs 1403).
- Luis Jose Nakamine is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Luis Jose Nakamine 1–0 Bautista De La Pena (1).
Statistics
| Luis Jose Nakamine | Bautista De La Pena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.6 | 5-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Luis Jose Nakamine 1 – 0 Bautista De La Pena (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luis Jose Nakamine 1–0 Bautista De La Pena
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/25 ITF M15 Lima | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Jose Nakamine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Agustin Libre M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/12 | Bautista Vilicich ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Bautista De La Pena ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/12 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Tyler Stewart UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Zachary Cohen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | David Duong UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/08 | Nathan Chavez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Bautista De La Pena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Vitor Costa Goncalves M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Jose Nakamine vs Bautista De La Pena?
Our model gives 78% to Luis Jose Nakamine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.