Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 13/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Anastasiya Zaparyniuk
Prediction summary
Winner
Tilwith Di Girolami
Anastasiya Zaparyniuk
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tilwith Di Girolami
8-2 (W-L)
Anastasiya Zaparyniuk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tilwith Di Girolami 1549 · Anastasiya Zaparyniuk 1438
| Tilwith Di Girolami | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tilwith Di Girolami (rating 1549 vs 1438).
- Tilwith Di Girolami is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tilwith Di Girolami | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.3 | 10.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 55% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tilwith Di Girolami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Jinte de Boer W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Lisa Claeys W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Chrystal Lopez W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Lisa Peer W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Anamari Znuderl W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Anastasiya Zaparyniuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Martina Okalova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Valeriya Strakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Eva Kaliadina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 03/03 | Alicia Smith W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Ani Amiraghyan W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 07/01 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/01 | Beatris Spasova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/01 | Annabelle Lammas W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/12 | Rikke De Koning W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tilwith Di Girolami vs Anastasiya Zaparyniuk?
Our model gives 76% to Tilwith Di Girolami, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.