Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 13/07, 12:30
Prediction: Arina Bulatova vs Dia Evtimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Bulatova
Dia Evtimova
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Bulatova
5-5 (W-L)
Dia Evtimova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arina Bulatova
1–0
Dia Evtimova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Bulatova 1481 · Dia Evtimova 1426
| Arina Bulatova | Dia Evtimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Bulatova (rating 1481 vs 1426).
- Head-to-head: Arina Bulatova 1–0 Dia Evtimova (1).
- Note: Arina Bulatova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Arina Bulatova | Dia Evtimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.8 | 7.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Arina Bulatova 1 – 0 Dia Evtimova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arina Bulatova 1–0 Dia Evtimova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/24 W15 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Bulatova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Salma Drugdova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Nice |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Rasheeda McAdoo W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ralitsa Alexandrova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Nikol Sevald W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Romana Cisovska W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Ena Ilic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Dia Evtimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Aurora Zurmuehle W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Maya Iyengar W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Aya El Sayed W35 Charlotte |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 18/02 | Jensen Diianni W15 Palm Coast |
1-1 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/02 | Kate Sharabura W15 Palm Coast |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/02 | Ava Catanzarite UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Juliette Nask UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Najah Dawson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Bulatova vs Dia Evtimova?
Our model gives 69% to Arina Bulatova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.