Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 13/07, 12:30
Prediction: Mathilde Lollia vs Christina Bednarczyk
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathilde Lollia
Christina Bednarczyk
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mathilde Lollia
5-5 (W-L)
Christina Bednarczyk
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathilde Lollia 1456 · Christina Bednarczyk 1429
| Mathilde Lollia | Christina Bednarczyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (7/match).
- Note: Christina Bednarczyk makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Mathilde Lollia | Christina Bednarczyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.6 | 6.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 7 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathilde Lollia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Francesca Dell'edera W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 12/05 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Jenny Lim W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Darya Astakhova W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 11/03 | Milana Zhabrailova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/02 | Dune Vaissaud W50 Grenoble · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Christina Bednarczyk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Romane Longueville W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Rachelle Starreveld W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/05 | Mila Bastianelli W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Gina Feistel ITF W75 Petange · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 14/10 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Essen |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Ciara Moore ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/09 | Ella Kordik ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning ITF W15 Haren · Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathilde Lollia vs Christina Bednarczyk?
Our model gives 73% to Mathilde Lollia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.