Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 14/07, 02:00
Prediction: Ran Inaba vs Junri Namigata
Prediction summary
Winner
Ran Inaba
Junri Namigata
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ran Inaba
5-5 (W-L)
Junri Namigata
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ran Inaba
0–1
Junri Namigata
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ran Inaba 1524 · Junri Namigata 1585
| Ran Inaba | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junri Namigata (rating 1524 vs 1585).
- Head-to-head: Ran Inaba 0–1 Junri Namigata (1).
Statistics
| Ran Inaba | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9 | 11-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Ran Inaba 0 – 1 Junri Namigata (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ran Inaba 0–1 Junri Namigata
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ran Inaba
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Yura Nakagawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ayaho Okude Okude UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Yua Morishita UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/03 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 12/03 | Hannah Allen UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Natsumi Shioya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/03 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Junri Namigata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/06 | Chisato Kanemaki UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/06 | Yura Nakagawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Yuko Wadazumi UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mio Mushika W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Yuno Kitahara W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/05 | Tenika Mcgiffin W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/05 | Katie Swan W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ran Inaba vs Junri Namigata?
Our model gives 72% to Junri Namigata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.