Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00
Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Alina Korneeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoi Ito
Alina Korneeva
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito
3-7 (W-L)
Alina Korneeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1445 · Alina Korneeva 1528
| Aoi Ito | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Korneeva (rating 1445 vs 1528).
- Aoi Ito dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Alina Korneeva is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Aoi Ito | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 17% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.8 | 12.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoi Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Diane Parry WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Lulu Sun French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Jeline Vandromme French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/05 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Alina Korneeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Fangran Tian WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Julia Riera French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Alina Korneeva?
Our model gives 73% to Alina Korneeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.