Tennis · WTA Athens · 13/07, 18:00

Prediction: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlek

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Viktoria Morvayova Sara Bejlek
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Morvayova 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWLWW
Sara Bejlek 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLL
Head-to-head
Viktoria Morvayova 0–1 Sara Bejlek (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viktoria Morvayova 1518 · Sara Bejlek 1431
Viktoria MorvayovaSara Bejlek
Our model62%38%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktoria Morvayova (rating 1518 vs 1431).
  • Viktoria Morvayova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Viktoria Morvayova 0–1 Sara Bejlek (1).

Statistics

Viktoria MorvayovaSara Bejlek
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.5-1.7
Games (G-P)9.6-9.38.3-12.4
Aces3.80.8
Double faults1.63.2
1st serve %66.6%53.1%
Break %33.5%43.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Viktoria Morvayova 01 Sara Bejlek (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Morvayova 01 Sara Bejlek

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DateSetsGamesRes.
06/04/22
ITF W25 Pretoria
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viktoria Morvayova

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Elina Nepliy
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Franziska Sziedat
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Amandine Hesse
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
24/06 Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Katarina Kuzmova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Martyna Kubka
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
11/06 Nada Fouad
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/06 Francesca Gandolfi
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W
05/06 Matilde Jorge
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Sara Bejlek

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Sorana Cirstea
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Laura Siegemund
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 17-18 W
16/06 Karolina Pliskova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
1-2 14-15 L
09/06 Dayana Yastremska
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
27/05 Iga Swiatek
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/05 Sloane Stephens
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/05 Emma Navarro
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/05 Alina Charaeva
WTA Paris · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/05 Laura Siegemund
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
02/04 Belinda Bencic
WTA Charleston · Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlek?

Our model gives 62% to Sara Bejlek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.