Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00
Prediction: Clara Tauson vs Nao Hibino
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Tauson
Nao Hibino
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Tauson
4-6 (W-L)
Nao Hibino
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clara Tauson
2–1
Nao Hibino
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Tauson 1457 · Nao Hibino 1509
| Clara Tauson | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Hibino (rating 1457 vs 1509).
- Nao Hibino is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Clara Tauson 2–1 Nao Hibino (3).
Statistics
| Clara Tauson | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.4 | 11-8.5 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 29.3% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Clara Tauson 2 – 1 Nao Hibino (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Tauson 2–1 Nao Hibino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/24 WTA Tokyo | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10/24 WTA Hong Kong | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/10/19 ITF W100 Suzhou | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Daria Snigur French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Talia Gibson WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/03 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Nao Hibino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucie Havlickova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Priscilla Hon Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Tauson vs Nao Hibino?
Our model gives 59% to Clara Tauson, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.