Tennis · WTA Athens · 13/07, 16:30
Prediction: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Lilli Tagger
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Lilli Tagger
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marianne Argyrokastriti
5-5 (W-L)
Lilli Tagger
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1533 · Lilli Tagger 1453
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianne Argyrokastriti (rating 1533 vs 1453).
- Marianne Argyrokastriti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.1 | 11.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 62.7% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Arina Malygina W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Marie Vogt W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Madison Sieg WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Xinyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Maria Sakkari WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Alina Korneeva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Suzan Lamens WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Lilli Tagger?
Our model gives 69% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.