Tennis · WTA Athens · 13/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dart
Prediction summary
Winner
Mina Hodzic
Harriet Dart
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mina Hodzic
5-5 (W-L)
Harriet Dart
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mina Hodzic 1510 · Harriet Dart 1441
| Mina Hodzic | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mina Hodzic (rating 1510 vs 1441).
- Harriet Dart dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 49.2% break avg.
- Mina Hodzic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Mina Hodzic | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10 | 12.3-13.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mina Hodzic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Hao-Ching Chan WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elza Tomase W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Sarah Iliev W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yue Yuan French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/04 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Nao Hibino W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dart?
Our model gives 60% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.